The Result of University Cost-Cutting Measures . . .

the Plausible Deniability Blog takes up where the PostModernVillage blog left off. While you'll see many of the same names here, PDB allows its writers and editors a space away from financial strum und drang that torpedoed the PMV blog.

Sunday, April 6, 2025

Misconceptions of the Left (and What to Do About Them)

 

Months out from the 2024 elections, the punditocracy is still nattering about why the Harris-Walz campaign lost. Most of this consternation relies on the following misconceptions, which have become holy writ on the left, and none of which are true.

There is such a thing as natural solidarity.

Not all Latin-Americans will naturally see their struggles as akin to those of Black Americans, or, especially, those of LGBTQI folks. Likewise for any other minority group, no matter their history of being oppressed. It's not just that the American public is decimated; it's that we're alienated from everyone else individually and between the groups with which we identify. For some, traditional ways of life or systems of belief pose further barriers: a Catholic of Mexican origin is likely to see herself as more aligned with other Catholics than with the queer Colombian kid down the street.

If the left wants to create a movement, build solidarity, raise consciousness, public education must commence.

Oppressed people cannot themselves hold discriminatory attitudes or practice discrimination.

This is a popular misconception on the right as well. Consider, though, that the same Puritans who, deposed from power in England, freely persecuted Quakers in the Massachusetts colony. Latinx folks can hate Black folks who can hate Asian folks. Remember the situation in Koreatown in the aftermath of the Rodney King beating? Seems like nobody on the left does anymore.

If the left wants to create a movement, reconciliation efforts need to happen and trust needs to be actively developed between potential coalition members.

Self-hatred/the acceptance of one's own oppression is impossible.

We woke ones may despise the Uncle Toms of the world or, at least, pity them, but recall that one of them has served on the Supreme Court for over 30 years. One way to get ahead in the world is to work hard; another is to buddy up to those who oppress you, telling them what they want to hear. One of the strongest advocates of bringing back feudalism in Chekhov’s The Cherry Orchard, Firs, was formerly enslaved by it.

Bucking the system can be heroic, and it may lead to progress, maybe even revolution. It also leads to trouble.

A hopeful sign that progress is possible is Cory Booker's historic 25 hour speech on the Senate floor, invoking John Lewis's idea of "good trouble." But we must build the groundwork for it by raising people's awareness of their own self worth and making the movement's goals and means safe, hopeful, and full of opportunity.

Established immigrants will naturally have fellow-feelings for recent immigrants.

The history of the US shows precisely the opposite. Even first-generation immigrants, once they have "made it" here, are notoriously disdainful of those "fresh off the boat." So familiar is this idea that there was even a mainstream sitcom with that title, yet we on the left somehow forget it as soon as the election cycle heats up. It took decades for colonial Englishmen to accept the Germans, for these newly minted "Americans to accept the Irish, for them to accept the Italians, and so on.

If we want to win, we need to revisit and celebrate the immigrant experience, yes, and to remind people of the hardships that brought people here to begin with and the hardships they faced building new lives. Why do you think the rightwing downplays, ignores, or, now, purges these stories from the public discourse?

We need to restore the public image of immigration as heroic, not as scurrilous.

The working class, farmers, and those lower on the income scale automatically understand their situation better than the "educated elites."

You'd have to be stupid or misinformed or both to believe that Donald Trump could magically lower grocery prices or instantly bring American manufacturing jobs back through tariffs or stop the war in Ukraine in 24 hours, yet millions of voting Americans believed exactly that. (Many still do, contrary to the clear evidence before them.) Working class people and farmers live in the same toxic media environment the rest of us live in, and they believe or reject misinformation based on a variety of factors, but because of generations of media programming, the one thing they believe about themselves is the "salt of the Earth" myth, that their judgments are more pure and more accurate because of, not despite, their lack of sophistication. The programming they receive, from AM talk radio, from Fox"News," from the pulpits of their churches and in their Facebook groups, though, is the sophisticated communication of educated people, people who don't have their best interests in mind. Their "commonsense" has been ginned up for them by the rightwing message machine.

It's dead wrong, but when it's all you know, and when it reinforces your own self-image, it starts to seem like the eternal truth.

And so, last of all, the left, if it wants to win, needs to play the long game, just as the right has done, thinking not one or two election cycles out, but decades, centuries, through, as we like to say about the environment, the seventh generation.

We love to hate on Project 2025, but, notably, we on the left don't have one, no playbook that articulates our aims, no "bible" to manifest our vision.

Given all this, it's no surprise that, despite most people agreeing with us on the issues, we continue to lose. But to win, we need to abandon these misconceptions and work hard to build the coalitions necessary for real progress to take place.

Sunday, March 16, 2025

The Interminable Hell We're In

 We have to start getting used to the idea that Trump and Trumpism are here to stay.

Trump himself, while never of sound mind, and despite his atrocious diet, obvious obesity, and tanning addiction, seems relatively sound of body. Abetted by a compliant Supreme Court, a loyal and entrenched Republican party, and a toothless opposition, there's no reason to think we won't follow through on his signals to stay in office in 2028. Nursed along by the best health care available, it's possible he'll last another 20 years in office, increasingly demented but with lackeys whose power is dependent on his continued figurehead of the MAGA cult.

Having recreated the federal bureaucracy not only to enable authoritarianism but to guide that authoritarian system to support a handful of tech-minded oligarchs, there's no reason to think that Musk, Bezos, Zuckerberg, won't continue to support the regime that continues to support them. And even if one of them decides to depose Trump and install himself as dictator for life (and none of these men is all that old), there's little anyone would be able to do about it, with the federal system designed to avert such a thing as eroded as it already is.

Once power is completely aligned under Trump, which is almost already the case officially the case and clearly the case de facto, even a legal ouster under the 25th Amendment or an extra-legal ouster by other means won't, by themselves, restore democracy. The coup leader, be it JD Vance or someone else—Trump Jr., for example—would simply be installing himself atop an existing authoritarian system, not reforming one. And that would be the point: those in power now haven't gotten there because they have principles or value the popular will.

The idea that all authoritarian systems fall on their own, that they must give way, eventually, to the needs of the people, is specious: witness Spanish fascism, which lasted under Franco for almost forty years. Note that Castro's Cuba chugs along long after the revolutionary's demise. And then there's North Korea, now on its third generation of dynastic rule. Despite its recent transformations, "communist" China is still a repressive, one-party state, nearly eighty years after Mao's rise to power.

None of this is meant as an excuse for pessimism; it's simply meant as a warning: there is no natural end to dictatorship. For every Hitler, Mussolini, Ceaușescu, there are half a dozen others who never paid from their crimes, who, like Stalin, Franco, Castro, died in peaceful slumber, with nary a worry in mind.

Getting rid of dictators is not a political process. Instead, it is a matter of justice, and the failure of the Congress to find Trump guilty when it had two chances through impeachment, the failure of the State of New York and the federal justice system to jail Trump (or offer him exile), the failure that was the Supreme Court's ruling in Trump v. USA have all but sealed our fate. With Democratic leadership capitulating to Trump and Republicans repulsively loyal, it's difficult to see any way out, hard to see just who, what leader or popular uprising, will be willing to wield the hammer of justice to nail the coffin shut on Trump, his movement, and all it entails.

But without it, we better get used to living in this hell for the long haul.